Xu Chang, director of the market forecasting department of the National Information Center, believes that in the future, the development of China's special-purpose vehicle industry will show three major trends: scale, branding and centralization.

In the next 10 years, China's economy will continue to maintain rapid growth, and the total economic output will continue to expand, which will directly boost the demand for the special-purpose vehicle market. The National Information Center predicts that in the next 10 years, China's economic development rate may reach 9%. By 2020, China's total economic output may reach 14 trillion US dollars, which is close to the current GDP of the United States. This growth rate mainly comes from two aspects. The first is industrialization. Its characteristics are large investment scale, long industrial chain, high degree of processing, many intermediate products, and long duration of growth. In the past 10 years, China’s expressways, high-speed railways, airports, ports, passenger and freight stations, and urban infrastructure have entered a period of rapid construction.

In addition to industrialization, urbanization is also one of the factors driving economic development and will drive the development of special vehicles. In 2010, the urbanization rate in China reached 48%, and it is expected that it will increase to 60% by 2020. The rapid increase of cities with a population of over one million has led to a corresponding increase in demand for city-specific vehicles. For example, according to the construction standards of the emergency center, urban ambulances are allocated to 50,000 people and one vehicle. According to the construction standards of urban fire stations, there must be ordinary fire stations for every 7 square kilometers. The process of urbanization is accelerating and the administrative division area of ​​the city is expanding. The demand for specialized transportation vehicles such as refrigerated trucks and armored cars will greatly increase.

The degree of specialization in economic development continues to increase, driving the growth in demand for special vehicles. First of all, China’s overall economic scale has been expanded to promote specialization. The path of economic development of any country must be scaled up first and then carefully divided. China is currently in the stage of development from the coarse to the fine division of specialization. According to the latest economic classification of the National Bureau of Statistics, China's economic industry has reached 20 large-scale categories, nearly 100 major categories, and more than 1,000 sub-categories.

With the increase in purchasing power, it is beneficial to the development of special vehicles. In the next 10 years, China's per capita GDP will grow at an average annual rate of 9%. According to this rate, by 2020, China's per capita GDP will reach 10,000 U.S. dollars. At the same time, the rapid growth of fiscal revenue provides strong support for the demand for special vehicles and can increase the purchasing power of local government procurement of municipal special vehicles. The increase in labor costs will also accelerate the substitution of special vehicles for manual labor. With the dramatic increase in labor costs in recent years, an important feature that will accompany the rapid economic development in China will be the shortage of cheap labor and rising wages, which provides ample space for the demand for special vehicles.

As the demand continues to grow, the scale of China's special-purpose auto industry is increasing. Foreign-funded enterprises are also actively trying to occupy a larger share of the special-purpose vehicle market in China. The industry competition will become increasingly fierce, and special-purpose vehicle companies will face both major opportunities and challenges. A major test.



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